Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.047425 0.051570 0.055769 0.060335 0.065151 0.070074 0.075480
2024-10-20 0.040008 0.046032 0.052362 0.059483 0.067244 0.075420 0.084658
2024-10-27 0.035363 0.042820 0.050917 0.060299 0.070809 0.082157 0.095276
2024-11-03 0.030818 0.039210 0.048612 0.059810 0.072666 0.086856 0.103589
2024-11-10 0.027520 0.036663 0.047204 0.060069 0.075164 0.092139 0.112493
2024-11-17 0.025067 0.034850 0.046428 0.060871 0.078141 0.097878 0.121883
2024-11-24 0.024079 0.034690 0.047520 0.063811 0.083588 0.106477 0.134622
2024-12-01 0.020932 0.031559 0.044762 0.061898 0.083085 0.107981 0.138997
2024-12-08 0.018783 0.029530 0.043214 0.061325 0.084078 0.111168 0.145292
2024-12-15 0.017000 0.027835 0.041964 0.061009 0.085295 0.114556 0.151790
2024-12-22 0.016382 0.027674 0.042665 0.063151 0.089562 0.121663 0.162809
2024-12-29 0.015433 0.026970 0.042585 0.064234 0.092467 0.127094 0.171811
2025-01-05 0.014421 0.026136 0.042320 0.065102 0.095165 0.132382 0.180810
2025-01-12 0.012926 0.024480 0.040837 0.064276 0.095635 0.134870 0.186369
2025-01-19 0.012113 0.023792 0.040659 0.065178 0.098340 0.140179 0.195468
2025-01-26 0.010956 0.022475 0.039509 0.064683 0.099159 0.143070 0.201540
2025-02-02 0.010125 0.021608 0.038955 0.064969 0.100987 0.147239 0.209231
2025-02-09 0.009517 0.021058 0.038826 0.065821 0.103556 0.152360 0.218142
2025-02-16 0.009530 0.021550 0.040268 0.068927 0.109213 0.161535 0.232289
2025-02-23 0.008295 0.019792 0.038201 0.066911 0.107811 0.161454 0.234558
2025-03-02 0.007496 0.018730 0.037145 0.066307 0.108308 0.163836 0.239979
2025-03-09 0.006824 0.017836 0.036303 0.065975 0.109149 0.166654 0.245962
2025-03-16 0.006726 0.018020 0.037191 0.068235 0.113651 0.174378 0.258381